Records Disagree

Why records conflict

Why official records disagree

Last checked 6 November 2026 · 8 sources

Short answer

Official records disagree for a few repeatable reasons. One may be an early estimate that was later revised, as with US GDP, which moves from advance to later estimates 2. One may carry a corrected error, which ONS handles apart from planned revisions 1. Two surveys may cover different people or periods, as the US household and payroll surveys do 3. A company may have restated its accounts 5. A published text may have been corrected in an official journal 7.
Timing
Early estimates rest on incomplete data and are revised, per BEA and BLS 2,3
Revision vs error
Separate processes in ONS policy 1
Coverage
US household survey counts self-employed workers, the payroll survey does not 3
Geography
US provisional deaths tabulated by place of occurrence 4
Restatement
US non-reliance notices filed under Form 8-K Item 4.02 5
Rebasing
South Africa rebased real GDP to 2015 prices in August 2021 8

The record was published at a different stage

Many official figures start as estimates. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) says its advance GDP estimate is based on source data that are incomplete or still being revised 2. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) says its latest 2 months of payroll estimates rest on incomplete returns 3.

One record was revised or corrected

Statistics offices revise figures to add better data or methods. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) says revisions are not published to correct a mistake 1. When a mistake is found, ONS issues a correction and shows it in a banner titled Correction 1.

Base-year changes reopen long runs of data. Statistics South Africa published benchmarked nominal GDP and real GDP rebased to 2015 prices on 25 August 2021, covering the first quarter of 1993 to the fourth quarter of 2020 8.

The records measure different things

Two correct records can count different populations. BLS says the household survey includes agricultural workers, self-employed workers and unpaid family workers, and these groups are excluded from the establishment survey 3. The household survey counts a person once, and the establishment survey counts each job 3.

Rules for where an event is recorded matter too. The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) said provisional death counts were tabulated by the jurisdiction where the death occurred, not the decedent's state of residence 4. It said some state and local health departments reported only laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 deaths 4.

Accounts were restated

Company records change when an error is found. Under IAS 8, material prior period errors are corrected by restating comparative amounts 6. In the United States, a registrant that concludes past statements should no longer be relied upon discloses this under Form 8-K Item 4.02 5.

The published text itself was corrected

Errors can sit in the official publication. The Office of the Federal Register says the party that made an error is responsible for correcting it, and agencies must publish a document to correct substantive errors 7.

Quick check of the causes

CauseWhat to look for
Early estimate 2A label such as advance, preliminary or provisional 2,3
Correction of error 1A correction notice or banner on the release 1
Different coverage 3Who is included and the counting unit 3
Different geography 4Place of occurrence or place of residence 4
Restatement 5A Form 8-K Item 4.02 filing or restated comparatives 5,6
Rebasing 8A new base year in the release notes 8

Common questions

Can two different official figures both be right?

Yes. The US household and payroll surveys cover different groups and count people versus jobs, so their totals differ 3.

Is a revised figure a corrected error?

Not in ONS terms. Revisions add better data or methods, and corrections fix mistakes 1.

Why do old GDP growth rates change?

BEA revises through second and third estimates, annual updates and benchmark updates 2. Rebasing can change long histories, as in South Africa in 2021 8.

How do I know if a company restated its accounts?

In the US, look for a Form 8-K Item 4.02 filing 5. Under IFRS, look for restated comparative amounts 6.

Rules and charges change. Check the official source linked on this page before you pay or travel. Spotted an error? Email hello@recordsdisagree.com.

Sources

  1. Office for National Statistics: The Office for National Statistics' Revisions Policy and Correction of Errors Policy (9 August 2024)
  2. Bureau of Economic Analysis: Comparisons of Revisions to Real GDP (October 2026)
  3. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Employment Situation Technical Note (2 October 2026)
  4. CDC National Center for Health Statistics: Technical Notes, Provisional Death Counts for COVID-19 (20 September 2023)
  5. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission: Form 8-K Current Report (OMB Number 3235-0060)
  6. IFRS Foundation: IAS 8 Basis of Preparation of Financial Statements
  7. National Archives, Office of the Federal Register: Correcting the Federal Register and CFR (17 October 2024)
  8. South African Reserve Bank: Notice on the Revision of South Africa's national accounts and balance of payments statistics (26 August 2021)

Related